GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sevastopol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyzyltash are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sevastopol are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sevastopol hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 70.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Second League - Group 1, while Sevastopol holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sevastopol

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Sevastopol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KyzyltashLWLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SevastopolDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KyzyltashSevastopol
59.6Attack63.2
54.4Defence68.4
52.6Form73.7
55.3Power70.0
1.16xG1.65
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