Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyltash · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Kyzyltash are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Izberbash are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyzyltash hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Second League - Group 1, while Kyzyltash holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kyzyltash
Probability
84.4%
Model confidence
13.1%
Kyzyltash has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20