GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 7/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Yelimay Semey · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyzyl-Zhar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Premier League, while Yelimay Semey holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Yelimay Semey

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Yelimay Semey has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyzyl-ZharLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay SemeyWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kyzyl-ZharYelimay Semey
39.7Attack48.3
52.4Defence60.0
36.5Form51.7
44.5Power55.2
0.98xG1.30
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