GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kyzyl-Zhar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Astana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Astana

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

13.4%

FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyzyl-ZharDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC AstanaWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kyzyl-ZharFC Astana
39.7Attack55.0
52.4Defence65.0
36.5Form63.3
44.5Power61.9
0.84xG1.51
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