GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyustendil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyustendil are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Slivnishki geroy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyustendil hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Third League - Southwest, while Kyustendil holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kyustendil

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Kyustendil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KyustendilLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Slivnishki geroyLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KyustendilSlivnishki geroy
50.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence16.7
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power26.7
1.89xG1.30
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