GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyustendil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kyustendil are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Balkan Botevgrad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyustendil hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Third League - Southwest, while Kyustendil holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kyustendil

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

12.0%

Kyustendil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KyustendilLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Balkan BotevgradLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KyustendilBalkan Botevgrad
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power21.5
1.81xG1.17
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