GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
50.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power95.8
1.17xG1.77
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