Kyoto Sangavs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kyoto Sanga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fagiano Okayama
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40