GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fagiano Okayama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fagiano Okayama hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the J1 League, while Fagiano Okayama holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fagiano Okayama

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Fagiano Okayama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Fagiano OkayamaLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaFagiano Okayama
50.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.32xG1.35
View match centre →