GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the J1 League, while Kyoto Sanga holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kyoto Sanga

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Cerezo OsakaDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaCerezo Osaka
50.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power42.7
1.54xG1.32
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