GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Avispa FukuokaLDDDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka
50.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power59.3
1.26xG1.47
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