GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

KV Mechelen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Standard Liege are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Standard Liege hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Standard Liege holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Standard Liege

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

12.2%

Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KV MechelenLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Standard LiegeDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KV MechelenStandard Liege
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
15.3Power45.3
1.46xG1.59
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