KuressaarevsWelco X

Kuressaare are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Welco X are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 5.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kuressaare hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (91.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Cup, while Kuressaare holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.