KuressaarevsVaprus

Kuressaare are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vaprus are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.