KuressaarevsTrans Narva

Kuressaare are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Trans Narva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kuressaare hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kuressaare holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.