Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
KuPS W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS W hold a 42.6-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.4% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while KuPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS W
Probability
89.4%
Model confidence
89.4%
KuPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80