Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KuPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while VPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20