Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KuPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
15.6%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40