Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KuPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while AC oulu are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00