GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

KuPS Akatemia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PKKU

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPS AkatemiaLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PKKUWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KuPS AkatemiaPKKU
52.6Attack59.6
22.8Defence54.4
19.3Form52.6
33.3Power56.3
1.47xG2.77
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