Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kumla · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kumla are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tord are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kumla hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Kumla holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kumla
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Kumla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40