Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
ŁKS Łódź are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nieciecza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nieciecza hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the I Liga, while Nieciecza holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
13.5%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40