KristallvsZnamya Noginsk

Kristall are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Znamya Noginsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Znamya Noginsk hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Cup, while Znamya Noginsk holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.