Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Križevci are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jarun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarun hold a 49.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jarun holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80