Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Krasnodar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Krasnodar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Akhmat are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Krasnodar hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Premier League, while FC Krasnodar holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Krasnodar
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
11.7%
Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00