Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kraft · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Kraft are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while GBK are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and GBK hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while Kraft holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kraft
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Kraft has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 19 · avg 2.40/3.80
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20