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KR Reykjavik logoKR ReykjavikvsThor Akureyri logoThor Akureyri

COMPLETED

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

KR Reykjavik are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Thor Akureyri are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and KR Reykjavik hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 30.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Úrvalsdeild, while KR Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KR Reykjavik

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

82.5%

KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KR ReykjavikWWWDL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Thor AkureyriWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
KR ReykjavikThor Akureyri
100.0Attack33.3
27.8Defence18.5
72.2Form27.8
66.8Power30.0
4.50xG1.22
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