Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
KPV-j are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
9.1%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20