Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
KPV-j are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rops are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.2% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
86.2%
Model confidence
86.2%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20