Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
KPV-j are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (20.7 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
78.2%
Model confidence
78.2%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00