Köpetdag Aşgabatvs
Şagadam
COMPLETEDTurkmenistan · Ýokary Liga · 5/23/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Köpetdag Aşgabat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Şagadam are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Şagadam hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (30.1 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Ýokary Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60