KäPavs
SJK Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 7/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
KäPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20