KäPavs
SJK Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 4/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
KäPa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KäPa hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80