Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 38.4 against 38.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40