Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozlovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Kozlovice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bzenec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kozlovice hold a 54.8-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the 4. liga - Divizie E, while Kozlovice holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kozlovice
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
9.6%
Kozlovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60