Kostinbrodvs
Kyustendil
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kostinbrod are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kyustendil are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kostinbrod hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.5%
Model confidence
12.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40