Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosova · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kosova are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mendrisio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mendrisio hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, while Kosova holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kosova
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Kosova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40