Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kosmonosy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Kosmonosy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Varnsdorf are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kosmonosy hold a 39.9-point power-rating edge (92.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kosmonosy holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kosmonosy
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
7.4%
Kosmonosy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60