KosevsTartu Welco

Kose are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kose hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (91.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Cup, while Kose holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.