Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kortrijk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Kortrijk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Amiens are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kortrijk hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (32.1 v 25.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kortrijk holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kortrijk
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Kortrijk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60