Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korsnäs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Korsnäs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Helges are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Korsnäs hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (27.1 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Korsnäs holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Korsnäs
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Korsnäs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80