GGOALVIO

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 8/8/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Korona Kielce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Legia Warszawa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Ekstraklasa, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Korona KielceWLLDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Legia WarszawaWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
16.7Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
16.7Form77.8
36.5Power72.8
1.04xG1.38
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