Korona Kielcevs
Legia Warszawa
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/8/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Korona Kielce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Legia Warszawa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Ekstraklasa, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00