GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Korona Kielce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Korona Kielce are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aris are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Korona Kielce hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Korona Kielce holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Korona Kielce

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

10.7%

Korona Kielce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Korona KielceLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ArisWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Korona KielceAris
53.3Attack46.7
56.7Defence40.0
46.7Form26.7
51.3Power39.6
2.07xG1.17
View match centre →