Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kornburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kornburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Ammerthal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kornburg hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord, while Kornburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kornburg
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Kornburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 24 · avg 0.60/4.80
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80