Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Koper are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Shkendija are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80