Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40