Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Konyaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Konyaspor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rizespor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizespor hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Süper Lig, while Konyaspor holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Konyaspor
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
14.7%
Konyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80