Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kom are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Mogren have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mogren hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Second League, while Kom holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kom
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
13.0%
Kom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00