Kolkheti KhobivsMerani Tbilisi

Kolkheti Khobi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merani Tbilisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Tbilisi hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Liga 3, while Merani Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.