GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 8/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kokand-1912 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Surkhon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Surkhon hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kokand-1912LLLWL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SurkhonLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kokand-1912Surkhon
27.1Attack31.4
50.0Defence49.0
25.0Form35.3
36.7Power41.3
0.87xG0.87
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