GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Matsumoto Yamaga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kochi United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Matsumoto Yamaga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Matsumoto Yamaga hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (9.7 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the J3 League, while Matsumoto Yamaga holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Matsumoto Yamaga

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Matsumoto Yamaga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kochi UnitedLLDLW

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Matsumoto YamagaWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kochi UnitedMatsumoto Yamaga
0.0Attack44.7
0.0Defence58.8
16.7Form47.4
9.7Power51.7
0.99xG1.41
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